Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has put up 4.6 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent days: 88th percentile.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will likely see an increase in efficiency for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

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