Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has totaled 4.1 assists per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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