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Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alex Caruso has converted 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three overall this season.

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alex Caruso has attempted 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.9 free throws per game.

Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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