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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has attempted 6.7 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

The Celtics check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 89th percentile with an enormous 2.7 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year.

Al Horford has sunk a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 80.8 rate last season.

Al Horford is expected to see an increase in production in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.

The Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

The Celtics check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a hard one for drawing fouls; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game (4th percentile).

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