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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Al Horford comes in at the 91st percentile for three-point efficiency with an impressive 46.4% rate this year.

In terms of scoring, the Celtics's exceptional 120.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.

In contrast to last year's 80.8% rate, Al Horford's foul-shot prowess has spiked this year to 100.0%.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (4.4 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 86th percentile).

Al Horford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a difficult one; he has allowed a lowly 13.7 points per game when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).

The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 7thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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