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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford comes in at the 83rd percentile for three-point efficiency with a a great 40.1% rate this year.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.5).

The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 10thbest in in the league on their home court with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Among all players in the league, Al Horford registers in the 82nd percentile for free-throw ability with a a superb 85.7% rate this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

Away from their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's subpar 15.8 free throw attempts per game as the home team ranks worst in the league over the last 5 games.

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