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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% more than he's converted in all games this year while at home.

Al Horford has sunk 48.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.

The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing teams have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (33.1%).

The Celtics have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Celtics rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics.

While playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Al Horford rates in the 25th percentile for drawing fouls, putting up a mere 0.6 free throw attempts per game at home this year.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has attempted 27.1 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Rockets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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