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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has sunk 65.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.6% more than he's made in all games this season.

Al Horford has made 48.5% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have attempted 21.2 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a challenging one for scoring; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made just 5.2 buckets per game (3rd percentile).

The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 21.5 free throws per game.

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