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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has sunk 53.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

The Celtics rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Kevon Looney has been very high (2.2 per game) when on his home court and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).

Al Horford has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 72.6 mark last year.

The matchup vs. Kevon Looney is a good one for drawing fouls; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Warriors (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

Al Horford will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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