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Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In terms of scoring, the Boston Celtics's excellent 125.2 points per game at home settles in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.The matchup vs. the Bucks is a tough one for threes; the other team has put up the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.4%).The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics.Al Horford has converted an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly higher than his 72.6 mark last season.This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have attempted 20.6 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Al Horford has tallied a mere 3.5 points per game this year, significantly less than his 9.5 points per game last year.Al Horford has played a mere 23.6 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 30.1 minutes per game last season.Out of all players in the league, Al Horford comes in at the 81st percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game at home this year.The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.The Boston Celtics check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
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