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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has successfully made an impressive 2.2 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.5 mark last season.

Al Horford has averaged 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has sunk 35.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, -10.3% less than he's made overall this season.

The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (26.5%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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