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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/14/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has made 42.9% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Al Horford has played 30.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one for shots from the field; when the 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 23rd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).

The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has successfully made 38.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -7.8% less than he's made over the course of the season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has attempted a lowly 0.3 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 1.4 mark last season.

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