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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has sunk 3.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year playing at home.

Al Horford has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Hawks are the visiting squad (26th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has attempted and missed 5.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's missed in all games this year.

The matchup against Atlanta is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (23.0%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has attempted a lowly 0.3 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 1.4 rate last year.

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