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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 53.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Al Horford has sunk 55.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 19.8% more than he's made from three in all games this year while playing away from home.

Al Horford has averaged 35.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting Cs have tallied the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.7).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing at home, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Hawks are at home (4th-least in the NBA).

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