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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2022

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has attempted 6.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Al Horford has tallied 30.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year at home.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a whopping 21.6 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).

The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for shots from the field; their opposition have put up the 6th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year when playing away from home (46.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has successfully made just 0.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.2 mark last season.

The Clippers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.

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