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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Aaron Nesmith will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled a measly 0.5 offensive boards per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 0.9 offensive boards per game last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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