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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 6.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for field goals; when the Bucks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most field goals per game in the league this year (7.0).

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 98.6% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Pacers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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