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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/30/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+115/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted an impressive 42.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, a significant increase from his 32.8 mark last year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have notched 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, creating a favorable matchup for offensive production.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

The Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith places in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

With respect to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.6 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games.

Aaron Nesmith stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

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