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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has compiled 15.6 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

When it comes to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 124.7 points per game comes in as the strongest in the league this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 9.7 shot attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, labeling this as a hard matchup.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (13th-least in the league).

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