My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 69.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 16.4% more than he's sunk overall this season on his home court.

As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's excellent 127.1 points per game rates most in the league this year.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 6.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's made in all games this year while on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. Boston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (11th-least in the NBA).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™