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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Magic is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.5).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Magic is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.7 free throws per game this year (29th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 33.7% of his field goal attempts when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 0.7 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, -1.2 lower than he's attempted overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year.

While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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