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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

The Jazz have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 30.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -8.7% less than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Kelly Olynyk is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; when guarding opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (11th percentile).

The matchup vs. Kelly Olynyk is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; when Olynyk is playing on the road and guarding opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game (18th percentile).

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