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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 40.5% of his field goals this season, quite a bit more than his 33.2 mark last season.
  • Aaron Nesmith has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
  • The matchup against Josh Okogie is a good one for field goals; when defending opposing starting PFs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 52.4% of their field goals (100th percentile).
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Suns have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers.

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