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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home.
  • Aaron Nesmith has averaged 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
  • The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Bulls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has failed to make 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc in all games this season.
  • Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one for threes; opposing squads have totaled the 2nd-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (13.4).
  • The Indiana Pacers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of shots made from the field.
  • The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).

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