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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/11/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-290/+210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -275 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -290.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.

The Pacers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Aaron Nesmith figures to get a boost in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 25.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a difficult matchup.

The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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