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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/23/2024

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 32.8% clip, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point prowess has risen this season to 41.3%.

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 28.6 minutes per game this year.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (100th percentile).

The Pacers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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