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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing away from home.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The Magic have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pacers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease plays for the Magic.

The matchup vs. the Magic is a difficult one for threes; at home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (24.7%).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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