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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has compiled 3.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's compiled in all games this year.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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