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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 67.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.4 minutes per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have logged 13.0 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive output.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games as the away team.

The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jeremy Sochan has been quite low this year (3.1 free throws per game: 20th percentile).

Aaron Gordon stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

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