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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 69.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.

Aaron Gordon has played 31.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on threes (27th-best in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.5 free throws per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The 76ers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have captured 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (continuing possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Nuggets's poor 20.6 free throw attempts per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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