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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/19/2024

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 67.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Aaron Gordon has made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 28.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Aaron Gordon has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league while playing on the road this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup with Jayson Tatum measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting PFs compiling a mere 13.7 points per game this year.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Jayson Tatum is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when defending opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.0 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Aaron Gordon will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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