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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 65.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 11.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.7 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a positive matchup.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Gordon has converted 3.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (90th percentile).

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's poor 110.6 points per game away from home rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).

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