My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-155/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Dallas may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (25th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a lowly 20.2% of his shots from downtown this year, significantly lower than his 32.3 rate last year.

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

In comparison to last year's 62.4% rate, Aaron Gordon's free-throw efficiency has regressed this year to 51.1%.

More Aaron Gordon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™