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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

Aaron Gordon has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 32.3% rate, Aaron Gordon's three-point prowess has dropped this year to 20.2%.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.0 baskets per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Thunder, creating a hard matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league at home this year.

The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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