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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 31.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 5.2 free throws per game this year when the Bulls have the home court advantage (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has converted a lowly 11.7% of his three-pointers this year, significantly less than his 36.2 rate last year.

In comparison to last season's 2.3 mark, Aaron Gordon's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.2.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.9% on 3-pointers (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Bulls, designating this as a hard matchup.

The 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace road team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

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