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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.6 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup.

The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 36.2% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point prowess has decreased this year to 11.7%.

Relative to last year's 2.3 mark, Aaron Gordon's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.2.

The Nuggets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

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