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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Nuggets rank as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup against the Pelicans may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (24th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has converted a measly 12.5% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly lower than his 36.2 rate last season.

Aaron Gordon has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 2.3 fouls per game last season.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have scored 11.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 3rdworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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