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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 5.7 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one; when the Raptors are on their home court, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (16.0).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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