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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Gordon has averaged 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
  • Aaron Gordon has sunk 49.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made from three overall this season when playing at home.
  • Aaron Gordon has tallied 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Clippers is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (26.8%).
  • The Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Los Angeles may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Clippers are away from home (10th-least in the NBA).

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