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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 58.6% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 77th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 22.0 foul shots per game playing at home this year (6th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has converted just 61.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 73.9 rate last year.

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition have tallied the 10th-least shots made from the field per game in the league over the last 10 games while at home (42.5).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.

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