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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 45.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

Aaron Gordon has played 28.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 22nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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