My Account Log Out
 
 
Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Zay Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 59.9 plays per game.
  • Zay Jones has been among the weakest WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 17th percentile.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (61.2%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (61.2%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.34 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.74 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™