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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-290).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • While Zay Flowers has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Baltimore's pass game near the goal line in this contest at 18.6%.
  • Zay Flowers has accrued a monstrous 71.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Zay Flowers slots into the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 65.9 mark this year.
  • Zay Flowers's 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 65.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Texans defense since the start of last season (64.1% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the daunting Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 0.50 passing TDs per game to opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

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