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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Zay Flowers to garner 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
  • With an elite 27.4% Target% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers stands among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.
  • With an impressive 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands as one of the leading WRs in the game in football.
  • Zay Flowers's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.7% to 70.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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