My Account Log Out

reorder

Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-159/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

Zay Flowers has run a route on 92.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

With a terrific 4.8 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Washington's CB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 75.1% to 68.9%.

More Zay Flowers Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™