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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, Zay Flowers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.5 targets.
  • The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Zay Flowers ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 75.1% to 70.7%.

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