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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an exceptional 92.5% Route Participation Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to accumulate 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With a fantastic 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates among the leading WRs in the game in the league.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Bills pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's unit has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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