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Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-174/+126).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -174.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.This week, Zay Flowers is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.With a remarkable 25.9% Target% (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places among the WRs with the most usage in the league.With a stellar 4.7 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.Zay Flowers's 69.4% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 75.1% figure.As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.
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