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Zay Flowers
NFL · Player Props
Zay Flowers
WR · Baltimore Ravens
Receptions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM EST
NFL Props Zay Flowers Receptions

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • The Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The projections expect the Ravens to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Zay Flowers is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.
  • Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.0% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Zay Flowers has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 6.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
Favors Under
  • This week's spread implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.7% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Pittsburgh's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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