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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

Zay Flowers has run a route on 92.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Zay Flowers grades out in the 77th percentile among wide receivers this year with a massive 25.9% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

Zay Flowers grades out as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 56.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 75.1% to 68.9%.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 2.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.

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